It’s safe to say that no one has any idea what’s going to happen in the next election.
This ran on the Washington Post Web site Monday:
Overall, 55 percent of Americans expect a Republican victory next year. Fewer, 37 percent, predict that President Obama will win reelection. A majority of independents sense that the GOP nominee will prevail, but there is a gaping difference between party loyalists.
Fully 83 percent of Republicans say the GOP nominee — whoever he or she may be — is likely to claim the presidency next year. Among Democrats, far fewer, 58 percent, say they think Obama will win a second term. A third of Democrats expect a GOP win; just 13 percent of Republicans sense a repeat for Obama.
While this ran on the New York Times Web site:
Chris Christie’s political advisers are working to determine whether they could move fast enough to set up effective political operations in Iowa and New Hampshire in the wake of a relentless courtship aimed at persuading Mr. Christie, the governor of New Jersey, to plunge into the race for the Republican presidential nomination, according to operatives briefed on the preparations. …
… Those pushing Mr. Christie to run include the media mogul Rupert Murdoch, former Secretary of State Henry A. Kissinger, Nancy Reagan and the conservative columnist William Kristol.
Mr. Christie has become particularly popular among those establishment Republicans and major party donors who are seeking a candidate who could be a more exciting alternative — and one with potentially broader appeal — than one of the perceived front-runners, former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts.
So a majority is predicting Obama is going to lose the next election to the representative of a party that can’t even come up with a viable candidate.
And as far as Christie is concerned, does a half-term governor and former securities industry lobbyist who calls the GOP base “idiots” for complaining that he appointed a Muslim to his cabinet really have a chance at getting the Republican nomination?
- Christie Team Assessing How Fast a 2012 Campaign Could Be Mounted – New York Times (news.google.com)
- Christie Assessing Campaign Logistics (politicalwire.com)
- Imagining a Christie Campaign for President (nytimes.com)